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November 04, 2014

The Pendulum Swings?

A fascinating chart in the WaPo shows trends in party dominance of Congress over time:

Barring some sort of systematic polling-collapse/miraculous-combination-of-luck-for-Democrats, Republicans will walk into 2015 controlling both the House and the Senate by reasonable margins. (As of writing, the Post's Election Lab figures that there will be 53 Republicans in the Senate and 243 in the House.) It will be the first time the GOP has controlled both chambers since the 109th Congress -- and, if the Election Lab numbers hold up, the widest margin of control since 1929.

Congress.png

One of the more remarkable aspects of the chart above is the reminder that single-party dominance was the norm for much of the 20th century, with Democrats holding both chambers for Congress after Congress even as the White House changed hands. The recent back-and-forth between the parties is the exception, not the norm.

Speaking of "systematic polling-collapses and miraculous-combinations-of-luck-for-Democrats", the People's Republic of Maryland is all over it!

Kerry August can debunk any excuse an election judge may have for why her votes switched from Republican to Democrat right before her eyes: Her hands are tiny, her nails aren’t long and she definitely didn’t vote with an elbow.

Still, while voting early last week in Montgomery County, Md., August watched as three votes she cast for Republicans changed to Democrats.

It’s a situation voters across Maryland found themselves in as they voted early in midterm elections formally held today.

“There’s been a boatload of problems in Maryland in various counties,” August told The Daily Signal, adding: “They say your fingers are too big, your nails are too long, you vote with your elbow or something. There’s people complaining down there.”

You've got to love Maryland - we're always in step with the latest trends:

States have abandoned electronic voting machines in droves, ensuring that most voters will be casting their ballots by hand on Election Day.

With many electronic voting machines more than a decade old, and states lacking the funding to repair or replace them, officials have opted to return to the pencil-and-paper voting that the new technology was supposed to replace.

Nearly 70 percent of voters will be casting ballots by hand on Tuesday, according to Pamela Smith, president of election watchdog Verified Voting.

"Paper, even though it sounds kind of old school, it actually has properties that serve the elections really well," Smith said.

Naaaaaahhhhhh.....

Since today is election day, we decided to take a look at some old post-election day predictions from November 5th, 2008. It's always interesting to look back at how things seemed then, vs. now.

Posted by Cassandra at November 4, 2014 08:39 AM

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Comments

Well, I did it again. I went to the polling place this morning and cast a vote for a guy that I don't know but don't like to act as my representative in a legislative body for which I have little respect or confidence. Good news, though: I ran into my liberal neighbor coming out of the voting place and, after a brief exchange of morning pleasantries, I went inside to cancel out his vote.
Nyah nyah nyah, nyah nyah nyah!

Posted by: spd rdr at November 4, 2014 10:24 AM

Daughter in law #2 took Granddaughter #1 (and only!) to the polls and they ran into Dad there!

Small world. I didn't see anyone I knew.

Posted by: Cassandra at November 6, 2014 06:50 PM